Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
One-OffPolitica USARegolamentazionePolitica1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 14:39 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 72.2%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto30 apr 24, 00:12 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
[tweet]This resolves Yes in the event that SCOTUS strikes down the circuit court’s ruling.
- It resolves No if the supremes uphold or remand the case.
- It could resolve to a percent if there is a peculiar partial agreement that carves out some constitutional protections but not others.
- This market can resolve based on the above case’s lineage, or any very similar case with the same implications.
