Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
One-OffRegolamentazioneMaterie primePoliticaElezione1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 59%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto8 set 25, 18:27 UTC31 dic 27, 19:22 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
Manifold MarketsKalshi Felt Tables before 2028
Manifold MarketsNasdaq circuit breaker in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This resolves “Yes” if the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit issues a decision in Kalshiex LLC v.
- Martin et al.
- (No. 25-1892) that grants Kalshi the relief it seeks on appeal (e.g., reverses or vacates the district court’s denial of injunctive relief or otherwise rules in Kalshi’s favor). “No” if the Fourth Circuit affirms the district court or dismisses the appeal without granting Kalshi relief.
- Published or unpublished opinions count.
- If the appeal is dismissed (including voluntarily) without relief to Kalshi, resolves “No.” Sources for resolution: Fourth Circuit opinions page and the case docket.
