Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.8%
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97
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 24, 07:09 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Narva is a city in Estonia close to the Russian border whose inhabitants are mostly ethnic Russians (87%) who almost all speak Russian (96%) and many of whom even have Russian citizenship (36%).
- [image]Some experts believe Russia might militarily seize Narva in a Crimea-style operation to stress test NATO.
- Will Russia militarily seize Narva before 2030?
- See this question but for other years:
- @/cash/will-russia-militarily-seize-narva (this question)
- @/cash/will-russia-militarily-seize-narva-OIptE5cPpP
