Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnologia1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.5%
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Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 09:56 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M yearly budget is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.