Will "Only Law Can Prevent Extinction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIA1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 53%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto13 apr 26, 23:16 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Only Law Can Prevent Extinction is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.