Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeU.S. 55%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto28 giu 25, 19:10 UTC31 dic 27, 20:07 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRegole
Resolves to the country Pope Leo XIV first visits.
- If he doesn't visit any of the two while being Pope, resolves N/A.
Mercati aperti
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Volume totale
- 6,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,6K €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118K €
- Volume 24h
- 64,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 798,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Volume totale
- 8,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Volume totale
- 793,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine??
- Manifold Markets quota U.S. al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine??
- Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the country Pope Leo XIV first visits.