KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Luis Antonio Tagle 5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidità
23K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
18 lug 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 70, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 797,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 673,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Volume totale
- 16,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 94,9 €
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume totale
- 3,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
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- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi quota Luis Antonio Tagle al 5% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will the next Pope be??
- Who will the next Pope be? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2070.
- Come viene liquidato Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.