Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 84.2% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030??

Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.

Come viene liquidato Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV (Robert Francis Prevost) ceases to be pope of the Roman Catholic Church for any reason before 2030.

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

• No+0.1pt99%
• Yes-0.1pt1%

Volume totale

59,7 Mln €

Volume 24h

19,6K €

KALSHI

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

• Uruguay+8.0pt98%
• Peru+5.0pt95.5%
• Argentina-6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

• No+0.2pt96%
• Yes-0.2pt4%

Volume totale

22,1K €

Volume 24h

49,2 €

KALSHI

Who will the next Pope be?

• Luis Antonio Tagle12.5%
• Pietro Parolin4.9%
• Pierbattista Pizzaballa3.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?

• Yes72.3%
• No27.7%

Volume totale

17,4K €

Volume 24h

—

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Maitreya" before 2030?

• No58%
• Yes42%

Volume totale

130,9 €

Volume 24h

—

• Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?
• AI Cult exists by 2027
• Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
• Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
• Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
• Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
• Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
• Which religions will have gained in total self-identified practicing members from 2026 to 2057?
• GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
• When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?