Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 75%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
25 apr 25, 22:44 UTC30 dic 62, 23:41 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV cite in his text the signatories of the CAIS Statement on AI Risk before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to YES, only if the next Pope and President USA Donald Trump shake hands (or perform gesture of similar manner, greeting by touching hands) while being in the office.
- This will resolve to NO once it's certain that the person in question will not be anymore the Pope/POTUS and there has been no handshake.
