Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mag 25, 20:24 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if anyone gifts Pope Leo XIV Deltarune, in any way comparable to how MatPat gifted Pope Francis Undertale, by January 1st 2030.
- This could be a gift code, a box of the game, or anything else which could reasonably be called gifting the pope Deltarune.
- For this to count, this must either be a gift which the Pope acknowledges in some form, or is otherwise in the audience for.
- That is to say, someone online can't just say they bought the Holy Father a copy of Deltarune that he's free to claim, or that they emailed it to him, or anything like that.
- This market will resolve YES very leniently, as long as it's in the spirit of the market.
