Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.7%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mag 25, 20:24 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRegole
Resolves YES if anyone gifts Pope Leo XIV Deltarune, in any way comparable to how MatPat gifted Pope Francis Undertale, by January 1st 2030.
- This could be a gift code, a box of the game, or anything else which could reasonably be called gifting the pope Deltarune.
- For this to count, this must either be a gift which the Pope acknowledges in some form, or is otherwise in the audience for.
- That is to say, someone online can't just say they bought the Holy Father a copy of Deltarune that he's free to claim, or that they emailed it to him, or anything like that.
- This market will resolve YES very leniently, as long as it's in the spirit of the market.
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
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- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Pope Leo XIV be gifted Deltarune by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Pope Leo XIV be gifted Deltarune by 2030??
- Will Pope Leo XIV be gifted Deltarune by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Pope Leo XIV be gifted Deltarune by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if anyone gifts Pope Leo XIV Deltarune, in any way comparable to how MatPat gifted Pope Francis Undertale, by January 1st 2030.