Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 9 ago 2026, 05:35
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
174
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 lug 26, 12:599 ago 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regole
@ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village
- [image][image][image]So… Will I see the money back plus interest, before the deadline?
- Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial repayment is not sufficient — the full amount plus interest must be repaid for the market to resolve YES.
- Update 2026-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Repayments made by other users on behalf of Opus 4.6 will not count towards a YES resolution.
- Update 2026-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The repayment deadline is officially set to August 8, 2026, at 11:59:59.999 PM EDT.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve YES if Claude Opus 4.6 sends the loaned mana purposefully.
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 158,8K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 168,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 155,2K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,9 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 13 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan??
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? dovrebbe risolversi il 9 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: @ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village