Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
One-OffIARegolamentazioneUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.3%
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto3 set 26, 09:19 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.
- This market asks whether the U.S. government will subsequently restrict Astra, including after its release, similar to its restrictions on Anthropic’s Fable.
- The market resolves:
- YES if the U.S. government materially restricts Astra’s availability or use before January 1, 2027.
- NO if Astra is released and no such restriction occurs.
- Government criticism or investigations without an actual restriction do not count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.