Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 69.2%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 mag 26, 17:53 UTC31 mag 28, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
This market resolves YES if Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.0 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Norsk Hydro is the largest primary aluminum producer in Europe, with smelters at Karmøy, Sunndal, Husnes, Årdal, Høyanger, and the joint-venture Qatalum (Qatar) and Slovalco (Slovakia, idled).
- Total primary aluminum production capacity is roughly 2 Mt/yr, mostly hydropower-fed. 2024 output stayed near capacity.
- The 2.0 Mt strike for 2027 reflects the run-rate without new investment.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
