Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffCina1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.8%
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Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo4 mag 26, 17:53 UTC31 mag 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Century Aluminum operates Sebree and Mt. Holly (Kentucky/South Carolina), Grundartangi (Iceland), and has the Hawesville smelter idled. 2024 production was 0.69 Mt and shipments 0.678 Mt. The 0.7 Mt strike for 2027 reflects steady-state operations at running smelters; the Century-EGA Inola greenfield (Oklahoma, $4B build, ~600 kt/yr nameplate) targets first metal late 2028 and is not material to 2027.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Century Aluminum 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR) https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000949157
- Century Aluminum quarterly earnings releases https://centuryaluminum.com/
