Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.6%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto9 dic 23, 23:44 UTC1 mar 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketWill South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa vs Australia. 1st Test Megamarket
Manifold MarketsZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026