Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 97.7%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto6 dic 24, 23:57 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold Markets💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 87,4K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 228,5K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 239,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 53,3K €
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.