Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.5%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 21:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+11.5pt67.7%
- <40-4.0pt17.6%
- 65-89-6.0pt13.7%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 219K €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt27.7%
- 200-219+4.0pt23.8%
- 160-179-2.0pt13.9%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+22.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 228,6K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-4.0pt16.8%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199-0.5pt19.6%
- 200-21917.8%
- 160-17916.8%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
- Largest Company end of September?
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026??
- Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.