Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 90%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ago 26, 15:23 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?
Manifold MarketsWill I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.
Manifold MarketsScotland independent from the UK by the end of 2026?
FutuurEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2035, the Principality of Liechtenstein exists as an independent, sovereign state.
- The market will resolve to NO if, by December 31, 2035, Liechtenstein has ceased to exist as an independent nation—for example, if it has been annexed, has voluntarily merged with another country (such as Switzerland or Austria), or has otherwise lost its status as a sovereign state.
- Source of Verification: The primary source of truth will be the official list of United Nations Member States.
- If Liechtenstein is listed as an active, independent member state on this list (or a direct successor official UN list), the market resolves to YES.
- If the UN member state registry is unavailable or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on international diplomatic consensus, referencing official statements from the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs or the European Union.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 611,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035??
- Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria