Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 62.9%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mar 26, 16:19 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2026.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs