Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:38 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 87.7%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mar 26, 16:21 UTC31 dic 27, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2027.
- YES if by December 31, 2027:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs