Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto12 set 22, 07:30 UTC2 gen 50, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWhat sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050??
- Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.