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Dati al 28 ott 2026, 04:29 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 11%
December 31 11%Qualità del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
4
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
Manifold MarketsNetanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
PolymarketIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This set of markets predicts when Israel will announce that it has withdrawn all of its ground forces from Lebanese territory.
- Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes".
- A market resolves to "Yes" if Israel publicly announces, on or before the market's deadline, that its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory.
- The announcement must refer to a completed withdrawal; an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal does not qualify.
- A “Yes” resolution requires only the announcement of completed withdrawal, and it is not affected by whether some Lebanese territory remains under Israeli control or whether ground incursions by Israeli forces resume afterward.
- The Shebaa Farms area is treated as Israeli territory for the purposes of this event and is not considered toward resolution.
