Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 81%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto24 feb 24, 01:11 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)
Manifold MarketsWill Alphabet Inc. (Google) or Microsoft or Apple will still exist by 2100
Manifold MarketsWill Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves NO if at any point between now and 2100 Israel doesn't exist.
- Successor states count.
- I will resolve NO if it loses more than 50% of its Jewish population to emigration or expulsion within a 10-year window, e.g. if it's invaded by a neighboring country and left officially intact, but is no longer serving its intended purpose.
