Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 74.2%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mag 25, 07:02 UTC1 gen 00, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_will_exist_in_the_far_future
- If it only exists in an archival form, historical museum exhibit, or similar, this resolves NO.
- In order to resolve YES it must exist in something like its present function, of being an active information resource.
- This is very subjective, don't bet if you don't trust my judgement.
- Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * A major split (with controversy over the real Wikipedia) could resolve YES, but not if it splits too many times.
- If only a relatively small group is allowed to edit Wikipedia (even if it's online and updated), this market will resolve NO.
