Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 92.1%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto2 lug 23, 22:54 UTC1 gen 00, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In which years will humanity still exist? (2050 to 1 million AD)
Manifold MarketsWill Israel still exist in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)
Manifold MarketsWill Alphabet Inc. (Google) or Microsoft or Apple will still exist by 2100
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRegole
"Humanity" means any member of the species homo sapiens, even the word comes to be used in a broader way in the future.
- So a genetically modified or artificially created person would count as long as the modifications aren't so large that they make the person a completely different species, and a cyborg would also count as long as they are still biologically human.
- However, an uploaded human mind would not count, nor would any other form of AI or robotics.
