Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.8%
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8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 14:12 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any terrorist group detonate a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Japan or South Korea develop a domestic nuclear deterrent before 2050?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves Yes if a consensus of credible media sources confirm Iran has a nuclear weapon and/or tests or uses a nuclear weapon.
