Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?
One-OffScienzaTecnologia2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 92.5%
Previsori
89
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 gen 26, 07:00 UTC6 gen 27, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the solid-state (Donut) Verge motorcycle be delivered under a non-disclosure agreement?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2026, will it be possible to purchase a motorcycle with a solid state battery for <$50k
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiRegole
Donut Lab has posted this video: https://youtu.be/Y-aPS2AwMbc?si=Wgwx-LUcWMhp3L9k
- In it they make several claims about a new battery technology they've invented.
- One year from now, will I deem any of the claims made to have been false or disingenuous? I will resolve the market Yes if I do and no if I don't.
- I won't bet on this market.
- I will act in good faith.
- The resolution will be as accurate a reflection of my belief at the closing time as I can have it be.
