Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto16 dic 23, 20:03 UTC2 gen 35, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
Manifold MarketsUN agency for artificial intelligence created in 2026?
FutuurTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
AGI aims to replicate the full spectrum of human cognitive abilities, including perception, reasoning, problem-solving, creativity, and social intelligence, across a wide range of domains.
- The goal is to create machines that can learn from experience, generalize knowledge across different tasks, and adapt to new situations without requiring reprogramming.
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 68% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035??
- Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: AGI aims to replicate the full spectrum of human cognitive abilities, including perception, reasoning, problem-solving, creativity, and social intelligence, across a wide range of domains.