If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
IAManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThere was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. 30.6%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
229
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto22 feb 23, 19:11 UTC1 gen 00, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
This market resolves once either of the following are true:
- AI seems about as intelligent as it's ever plausibly going to get.
- There appears to be no more significant danger from AI.
- It resolves to the option that seems closest to the explanation of why we didn't all die.
- If multiple reasons seem like they all significantly contributed, I may resolve to a mix among them.
- If you want to know what option a specific scenario would fall under, describe it to me and we'll figure out what it seems closest to.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Manifold Markets quota There was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. al 31% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2200.
- Come viene liquidato If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves once either of the following are true: