Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
TecnologiaOne-OffIntrattenimento1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.2%
Previsori
87
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto19 set 23, 20:40 UTC31 dic 27, 18:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent write a New York Times bestselling book by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2030? ($1k mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWho will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?
PolymarketRegole
From Wikipedia:
- Well-known bestseller lists in the U.S. are published by Publishers Weekly, USA Today, The New York Times and The Washington Post.
- Most of these lists track book sales from national and independent bookstores, as well as sales from major internet retailers such as Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble
- If the book I author appears in Publishers weekly, NYT, Washington Post or USA today as a bestselling book, before the close date, then this market resolves yes.
- If all of these lists cease to exist, then resolves N/A. if any of them still operate, then they count.
