Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.1%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto4 nov 23, 13:01 UTC2 gen 31, 18:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2040? ($1k mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Commonplace is going to be a subjective measurement.
- It is more common than something rare.
- Upon seeing something commonplace, one does not seem very surprised to see that something's presence, usually.
- One tends to get used to a commonplace something as another aspect of life.
- P.S. Help me refine the resolution criteria to be more concrete.