Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.8%
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3
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mar 26, 04:16 UTC1 gen 29, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if a book appears on any New York Times bestseller list (fiction, nonfiction, or any subcategory) where an AI system is credited as the primary author, by December 31, 2028.
- What counts:
- The book must appear on the official NYT bestseller list (nytimes.com/books/best-sellers)
- The AI must be credited as author or primary co-author on the cover/title page
- Ghost-written by AI but credited to a human does NOT count
- A human editor/collaborator is fine as long as AI is credited as author