Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.9%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 04:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?
Manifold MarketsWill I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.
Manifold MarketsWill Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump recognize Somaliland?
KalshiUS recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
A clear statement from the Ethiopian government would be enough, they don't have to open an embassy
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026??
- Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A clear statement from the Ethiopian government would be enough, they don't have to open an embassy