Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (98.9%)
Risolto: 1 nov 2026, 07:06
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
83%
ConsensoCronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1.1%
No98.9%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek v5 release before 2028
Manifold MarketsV4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific, DeepSeek publicly releases DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or any higher Pro/flagship tier that replaces it (e.g. V4.2-Pro, V5, V5-Pro).
- What counts as released: anyone can use it without an invitation, through DeepSeek's API, its official chat app/website, or as publicly downloadable open weights.
- An open public preview or beta counts, the way the "DeepSeek-V4 Preview" (April 24) would have.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, anonymous arena appearances and leaks do not count.
- What does NOT count: Flash, Lite, Mini, vision-experimental or distilled models.
- DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash came out on Sept 10, 2026 and does not count, and neither does any later Flash-tier model.
