Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.9%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo22 ago 25, 21:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.
- Update 2026-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A qualifying model must be independent (not open-sourced) and sold commercially, whether via API access or subscription.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume totale
- 225,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 157K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 348,3K €
- Volume 24h
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- OpenAI market share this week
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026??
- Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.