Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029??

Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 20 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029??

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2029.

Come viene liquidato Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: To summarize:

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt86.1%
• 25 bps increase-1.0pt13.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 altri esiti

Volume totale

45,7 Mln €

Volume 24h

1,5 Mln €

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.0%-4.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.1%-1.0pt83%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

State of the economy at the end of 2026

• Overheating+1.9pt68.2%
• Soft landing-3.9pt27.3%
• Stagflation

KALSHI

US headline CPI inflation in December 2027

• Above 0.0%97%
• Above 0.5%94.5%
• Above 1.0%90.5%

POLYMARKET

October Inflation China - Annual

• 0.9% to 1.0%-14.5pt37.8%
• 0.7% to 0.8%+16.0pt35.7%
• 1.1% to 1.2%-3.0pt15.3%

+2 altri esiti

• Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
• How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
• U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
• Core CPI in October
• Core CPI in November
• CPI in December
• CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• October Inflation US - Monthly