Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 99.1%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
29 nov 22, 07:19 UTC21 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiRegole
https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html
- Arguing for YES is Bryan's uncanny track record -- he's never lost a public bet ever!
- Arguing for NO is that global temperatures have gone up a lot in the 8 years since the bet was shaken on.
- You can look at the graph and see that Bryan Caplan was wrong.
- Related market: https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-bryan-caplan-lose-any-of-his-p
- Close date updated to 2024-05-15 3:59 pm
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman??
- Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html