Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 66.5% al 24 ottobre 2026.

Come viene liquidato Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: F-22s have performed combat sorties and have bombed targets in Syria and elsewhere.

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4 set 23, 20:30 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

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F-22s have performed combat sorties and have bombed targets in Syria and elsewhere.

They have also shot down an alleged Chinese spy balloon and some other high-altitude objects.
There is, as far as I can tell, not a confirmed kill of a manned military aircraft from this type.
The question will resolve to Yes if a F-22 shoots down a manned figher, bomber, transport or other military aircraft from the time of posting this question and before January 1st, 2030.
Helicopters count as valid kills fo.
Accidental kills also count, just as long as they don't involve aircraft collision.