Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
GeopoliticaOne-OffCina4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.7%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mar 25, 00:09 UTC1 gen 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an apocalypse cult has attacked a civilian or military target in Taiwan before January 1st 2031.
- This does not include mass suicide events.