Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 24, 13:09 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
As our collective memory of the devastation and fear of nuclear war recedes the risks of a nation using these weapons feels more tangible.
- Global tensions are increasing worldwide with nuclear powered and nuclear-backed nations only serving to make the threat of a nuclear attack more likely.
- Will the tension break this decade or will we survive another 5 years without witnessing the horrific devastation that leveled Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
- edit: revised question to “will there be a nuclear strike” rather than nuclear detonation.
- This market will resolve to true for any nuclear strike on a civilian or military target even if it is a single bomb without retaliation.
- This market will also resolve true if there is an attempted nuclear strike that does not detonate (as in the bomb is launched but fails to detonate because of interception or malfunction).