Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffIA

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: No (98.3%)

Risolto: 10 ago 2026, 14:58

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 98.3%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 giorni fa

Obsoleto

6 set 23, 17:0431 lug 26, 21:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Sì

1.7%

Regole

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffIA

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: No (98.3%)

Risolto: 10 ago 2026, 14:58

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 98.3%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 giorni fa

Obsoleto

6 set 23, 17:0431 lug 26, 21:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Sì

1.7%

Regole

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months??: Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 11 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months??: Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 luglio 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Domande frequenti

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