Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030?
GeopoliticaIAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 88.7%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 24, 02:40 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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Resolution Criteria:
- The Al's actions must be unexpected and not reasonably predictable by its operators.
- Incidents where operators were aware of the risks but ignored them do not count.
- Deaths resulting from human decisions, where Al serves merely as a tool or assistant, are excluded (war, etc).
- The question concerns the total number of deaths caused by Al.
- Multiple deadly incidents from different Al systems will be combined if it occurs within 365 days.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030??
- Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria: