Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 75%
Previsori
59
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 24, 04:01 UTC31 dic 28, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
Manifold MarketsWill a legged robot mission set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
Manifold MarketsIf human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a human first set foot on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
it has to take a step for it to count
- Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them.
- Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.