Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 57%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 24, 03:54 UTC31 dic 28, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a legged robot mission set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
Manifold MarketsIf human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.
- Key context:
- China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028
- NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026
