Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 76.4%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto15 lug 24, 18:05 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
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Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
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KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegole
Inspired by @DanHomerick
- Open until one happens
- Here's a market idea if you want to use it.
- I searched for an existing market for the topic, but didn't find one.
- It's a question that the YouTuber Marcus House asked as an outro in this video:
- https://youtu.be/zeDwH44xTIU?si=Jmgi6tPQmcFy3VkB
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 76% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars??
- Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired by @DanHomerick