Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:39 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 99%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto19 gen 26, 03:09 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
- The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
- Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
- Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
- The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.
