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  3. Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

RegolamentazioneIA24a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Commercial fusion power
Commercial fusion power 39.6%
In testa tra 88 esiti
Previsori

274

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 giorni fa

Obsoleto
12 giu 24, 13:391 dic 50, 20:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Commercial fusion power40%

Regole

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.

Mercati Correlati

Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

22,2K €
December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

21,7K €
Kill everyone - Liron: 4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

633,5 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

235,7 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,632.85+2.10%EthereumETH$1,649.07+1.31%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.59%BNBBNB$594.65+1.55%XRPXRP$1.12+0.31%

Notizie Correlate

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Regole

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.