Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAt the end of February 2027 10.7%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 21:01 UTC28 feb 27, 19:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Each option will resolve YES if, at the stated time, Ukraine has de facto control of the entirety of central Konstantinovka, Donetsk Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, this refers to the area shaded yellow in the image below:
- [image]Each option will resolve NO if, at the stated time, any part of this area is contested or controlled by Russia.
- For the duration of the war, any YES or NO resolution must be supported by a majority of the following mappers:
- Black Bird Group