Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNov 16 to Nov 30, 2026 49.8%-2.2ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+9.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto8 ott 26, 22:37 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurStarship Flight 15: what happens to the ship? (first tower catch attempt, by Nov 30)
Manifold MarketsWill the Super Heavy booster explode during Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to the bucket containing the liftoff date (UTC) of SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (the 15th integrated Starship/Super Heavy test flight, the 4th Starship V3 flight).
- Source: SpaceX's official launch page / webcast (spacex.com/launches), cross-checked against Wikipedia's "List of Starship launches".
- Liftoff is what counts; a scrub, static fire, or wet dress rehearsal does not.
- the named outcome
