Starship Flight 15: what happens to the ship? (first tower catch attempt, by Nov 30)
TecnologiaOne-OffSpazio1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeCaught by the tower 51.3%In testa tra 4 esiti
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6
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
+13.3 pts
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto4 ott 26, 12:18 UTC1 dic 26, 05:59 UTC
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5x ABS(Day Change %(SPCX)) The 1st Market Day After 1st Ship Catch Attempt.
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Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?
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PolymarketRegole
SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (expected vehicles: Booster 22 / Ship 42, provisionally no earlier than Oct 19, 2026) is the planned first attempt to catch the Starship upper stage (the ship) with the launch tower's arms.
- Elon Musk put the odds of a successful first catch at "at least 50 or 60 percent." Flight 14 (Sep 28) ended with the ship splashing down in the Pacific as planned.
- This market asks what happens to Flight 15's SHIP.
- Only one answer can win.
- the named outcome.
- SpaceX confirms, or official SpaceX video clearly shows, that the ship was caught and held by the tower arms.
